Yard StudioJamaica-first · scam-skeptical

Official · STATIN Jamaica · 2026

July 2026 is the source of truth.

Statistical Institute of Jamaica, 7 Cecelio Avenue, Kingston 10. Latest CPI: July 2026, released 17 August 2026. August 2026 is not out yet.

July 2026 CPI released 17 August 2026 is the source of truth. June and April 2026 CPI and January–April 2026 IMTS sit behind it. 2024 bulletins are historical only. May 2026 water figures needed a STATIN correction on 16 June 2026.

Full extract: trust law still sits above this page. A screen that disagrees with STATIN is the screen that is wrong.

CPI · released 17 August 2026

July 2026

All Jamaica 152.7 from 150.9. Month +1.2%. Point-to-point +7.5% — above the Bank of Jamaica 4–6% target. Transport is the monthly driver.

  • All Jamaica

    Calendar YTD +1.8%. Fiscal YTD +3.6%.

    +1.2%p2p +7.5%

  • Transport

    Second 8% of the 16% PPV fare hike. Road passenger +8.7% / +15.4%. Route & hackney +16.0% p2p.

    +6.3%p2p +13.6%

  • Petrol (personal transport fuels)

    Opposite of September 2024, when petrol fell.

    +3.5%p2p +17.8%

  • Food & non-alcoholic beverages

    Vegetables class +2.3% / +13.8%. Fruits −4.4% July, +27.1% p2p. Fish +12.9% p2p. Meat +6.5% p2p.

    +0.6%p2p +9.4%

  • Housing, water, electricity, gas

    Electricity group +2.2% / +6.2%. Water & sewage +1.3% month. Imputed rentals +5.0% p2p.

    +0.9%p2p +5.2%

  • Household maintenance

    ~6.3% National Minimum Wage, 1 July 2026.

    +1.5%p2p +3.3%

  • Health

    OTC painkillers and dentist fees. Not a 2026 monthly hero.

    +0.2%p2p +3.7%

CPI · released 15 July 2026

June 2026

First 8% of the PPV fare hike. Point-to-point was still 6.7% — July then broke the target.

  • All Jamaica

    Fiscal YTD +2.4%.

    +0.8%p2p +6.7%

  • Transport

    First phase of the 16% fare increase, 1 June 2026.

    +4.3%p2p

  • Food

    Vegetables class +2.9% (yellow yam, carrot, cabbage, green banana).

    +0.7%p2p

Gazetted PPV fares · JIS recap of the gazetted PPV fare order, in force 1 July 2026

1 July 2026 order

  • Route taxi: J$132 plus J$8.64 per kilometre.
  • Rural stage carriage: J$53 plus J$7.02 per kilometre.
  • Hackney carriage: J$375 plus J$75 per kilometre; waiting J$39 per 5 minutes; long hire J$1,197.
  • Two-step 16% increase: 8% on 1 June 2026, 8% on 1 July 2026.

IMTS · released 30 July 2026

January–April 2026

Exports fell. Intermediate and capital-goods imports rose. The 2024 construction-import collapse is not the 2026 story.

  • Imports

    US$2,502.4m

    +0.9% vs US$2,479.5m a year earlier.

  • Exports

    US$547.4m

    −10.6% vs US$612.5m. Crude materials excl. fuels −41.2%.

  • Deficit

    ~US$1,955m

    About US$4.50 out for every US$1 in.

  • Intermediate goods

    +5.6%

    Capital goods excl. cars +7.7%. The 2024 construction-import collapse is over.

  • Top five import partners

    US$1,647.1m

    USA, China, Brazil, Japan, T&T — +8.9%.

  • Q1 2026 GDP

    −4.1%

    Agriculture −18.3%. Banana −86%. Plantain −83.7%. Melissa (Oct 2025).

Transport pain — product killed

STATIN still shows fares moving. FareLeaf died on driver behavior, not on the bulletin.

Cargo pain → LoadYard

Bags, timber, gas, water — one haulage skin. Not four apps.

ExportLeaf — killed

Exports moved. Frequency and who-pays did not. Not a product.